The undecided on the measures are making up their minds. The percentage has reduced for every measure the past two weeks.
There is an interesting pattern in these numbers. Though the percentages have decreased, the ranking of the measures from top to bottom in percentage of undecided remains the same. In addition, the percentage changes by measures at different initial (10/13-16) levels of undecided are roughly the same. Measures 88, 91 and 92 all dropped from 10-11% to 3-5%. Measures 86, 89, and 90 all dropped 12-13%. Clearly, campaigning, both before and after the initial survey had some effect. Measure 87, probably the one where the voters had the least initial information, has had its undecideds dropped about in half.
QUESTIONS INCLUDED: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot. If the election were held today on ________________, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
1. Measure 86: Amends Constitution: Requires creation of fund for Oregonians pursuing post-secondary education, authorizes state indebtedness to finance fund
2. Measure 87: Amends Constitution: Permits employment of state judges by National Guard (military service) and state public universities (teaching)
3. Measure 88: Provides Oregon resident “driver card” without requiring proof of legal presence in the United States
4. Measure 89: Amends Constitution: State/political subdivision shall not deny or abridge equality of rights on account of sex
5. Measure 90: Changes general election nomination processes: provides for single primary ballot listing candidates; top two advance
6. Measure 91: Allows possession, manufacture, sale of marijuana by/to adults, subject to state licensing, regulation, taxation
7. Measure 92: Requires food manufacturers, retailers to label “genetically engineered” foods as such; state, citizens may enforce
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews were conducted of likely State of Oregon voters on October 13-16 and again on October 27-30 2014. Both landlines and cell phones were included. Likelihood was determined by a model overlaid on the voter file. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus five percent.