Should Eugene Build a New City Hall or Refurbish and Old Building?

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Eugene voters strongly prefer refurbishing to building. This is a common survey result since refurbishing is seen as less expensive than building. A better interpretation, since no immediate refurbishing plan is out there, is that Eugeneans are very, very cost sensitive. Considering the continual cost overruns and planning delays, who can blame them.

QUESTION: Should the City of Eugene build a new city hall or buy and refurbish an existing building?
IF BUILD/BUY: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 General election voters were conducted September 13-15, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

How Eugeneans Feel About the City Hall Plans

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Eugene voters disapprove of the City of Eugene’s plans for a new city hall by a solid margin. This is probably due to the problems with cost and planning that have been ongoing for a while.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the City of Eugene’s plans for a new city hall? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 General election voters were conducted each of September 13-15, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

Trend on Eugene’s Relaxing Homeless Camping Enforcement

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The attitude toward relaxing homeless camping enforcement has turned sharply negative. The shift could be a seasonal effect – people are more in favor during the winter than the summer. However, it was still in net negative terrain over the winter.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the City of Eugene relaxing code enforcement on homeless camping? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 General election voters were conducted each of December 2-3, 2015, February 22-23, 2016, and September 13-15, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

Disapproval for Relaxing Eugene Homeless Code Enforcement

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Eugeneans sharply disapprove of relaxed enforcement.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the City of Eugene relaxing code enforcement on homeless camping? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 General election voters were conducted September 13-15, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

City of Eugene Internet Service Fee Meets Strong Disapproval

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Eugeneans sharply disapprove of the Internet fee.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of a fee for Comcast Internet service averaging $3.15 per household per month for the City of Eugene’s general fund to be used at the discretion of the City Council? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 General election voters were conducted September 13-15, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

N.B. The wording is as close as possible to the Register-Guard article.

Oregon Republican Senate Primary Trend

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Strikingly, a week out from the election no candidate had amassed much support. Neither of the leading candidates, Carpenter or Stewart, had made any significant headway. This differs from Huffman’s 2010 campaign where he steadily pulled away from the field. This provides one possible reason for the Callahan victory: the Carpenter and Stewart campaigns were just not getting any sort of message out to the voters.

QUESTION: If the Republican United States Senate Primary were held today, would you vote for: Sam Carpenter, Mark Callahan, Faye Stewart, or Dan Laschober? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: These results are based on three surveys composed of live telephone interviews of likely Oregon Democratic Primary voters. A survey of 200 was conducted April 5-6, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for this survey is 7%. Two surveys of 400 were conducted April 25-26 and May 9-10, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for these surveys is 5%.

Oregon Republican Presidential Primary Trend

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During the Republican primary, Trump was steadily gaining and Cruz was steadily losing ground. Kasich stayed about level. This fit with the national patterns at the time.

QUESTION: If the Republican Presidential Primary were held today, would you vote for: Ted Cruz, John R. Kasich, or Donald J. Trump? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: These results are based on three surveys composed of live telephone interviews of likely Oregon Democratic Primary voters. A survey of 200 was conducted April 5-6, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for this survey is 7%. Two surveys of 400 were conducted April 25-26 and May 9-10, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for these surveys is 5%.

Oregon Democratic Secretary of State Primary Trend

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Avakian established an early lead. Val Hoyle caught up rapidly toward the end. Avakian won it at the end.

QUESTION: If the Democratic Oregon Secretary of State Primary were held today, would you vote for: Richard Devlin, Brad Avakian, or Val Hoyle? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: These results are based on three surveys composed of live telephone interviews of likely Oregon Democratic Primary voters. A survey of 200 was conducted April 5-6, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for this survey is 7%. Two surveys of 400 were conducted April 25-26 and May 9-10, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for these surveys is 5%.

Vinis Name Familiarity Key Demographics

 

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As with Mike Clark, political party was the top determinant of favorability towards Vinis. As one would also expect, given that Vinis was practically unknown at the beginning of the campaign (see: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=13040), her name familiarity steadily increased among all groups with her net favorability rocketing among Democrats.

QUESTION: I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______ IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
Lucy Vinis

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely 2016 Primary voters were conducted on each of February 8-9, April 4-5, April 18-19, and May 2-3, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for each survey was plus or minus 7%.These were then pooled into a single large sample of 800.

Clark Name Familiarity Key Demographics

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The primary driver of support for Mike Clark was a person’s political party. After that, Democrats split up between those from South Eugene and those from the rest of Eugene. Among South Eugene Democrats, Age was the key factor with persons 60 and under being strongly negative. Among the latter, they got to know Clark better, but didn’t much like what they learned. This group was a key part of the business coalition in past years and the loss of this group explains some of the Clark campaign’s troubles.

The Clark trend is at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=13038

QUESTION: I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______ IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
Mike Clark

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely 2016 Primary voters were conducted on each of February 8-9, April 4-5, April 18-19, and May 2-3, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for each survey was plus or minus 7%.These were then pooled into a single large sample of 800.