Approve or Disapprove of How New City Hall Project Handled

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Eugeneans pretty clearly disapprove of how the new city hall project has been handled. One question: How will this mismanagement belief affect future voter support for city efforts?

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of how the project to build the new Eugene City Hall has been handled?
IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 240 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene General election voters were conducted November 29 through December 1, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 6%.

Is Eugene’s New City Hall Project Going in the Right Direction or Off on the Wrong Track?

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It’s pretty clear that Eugeneans think the city hall project is off on the wrong track.

QUESTION: Do you feel the project to build the new Eugene City Hall is moving in the right direction or do you think things have gotten off on the wrong track?

METHODOLOGY: 240 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene General election voters were conducted November 29 through December 1, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 6%.

Where to Build Eugene’s New City Hall?

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Eugeneans now overwhelmingly prefer the EWEB site for the new city hall.

Councilor Mike Clark originally proposed this in what now seems like eons ago. However, it seems took the perception of gross mismanagement to really sell the site.

QUESTION: Three sites have been widely discussed for the new city hall:
build at the current city hall site east of the county building,
build at the current “butterfly parking lot site west of the county building, or
renovate the current EWEB headquarters building.
Which do you prefer?

METHODOLOGY: 240 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene General election voters were conducted November 29 through December 1, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median is 6%.

Key Demographics: Clinton and Trump Strong Unfavorables in Oregon

 

 

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This post examines the distribution of “Strongly Unfavorables.” As with “Unfavorables” in the last post, the most important demographic was party. The same three variables, age, education, and home ownership status, were the next most important.

QUESTIONS: Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______ IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
RANDOMIZE
1. Donald J Trump
2. Hillary Clinton

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.
Four codes were used:
1. Both: Strongly Unfavorable about both Clinton and Trump.
2. Clinton: Strongly Unfavorable about Clinton.
3. Trump: Strongly Unfavorable about Trump.
4. Neither: Strongly Unfavorable about neither Clinton nor Trump.

Key Demographics: Clinton and Trump Unfavorables in Oregon

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One of the most frequently found polling results on the national presidential campaign were the high negative ratings of the two major party candidates. This post examines the unfavorable ratings for the two candidates.

The most important split was by party. Age, education, and home ownership status, whether the person owned or rented their home, were also important.

QUESTIONS: Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______ IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
RANDOMIZE
1. Donald J Trump
2. Hillary Clinton

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.
Four codes were used:
1. Both: Unfavorable about both Clinton and Trump.
2. Clinton: Unfavorable about Clinton.
3. Trump: Unfavorable about Trump.
4. Neither: Unfavorable about neither Clinton nor Trump.

Clinton and Trump Net Favorability Trend

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Both Clinton and Trump had net negative ratings. Clinton’s remained above Trump’s throughout.

QUESTIONS: Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______ IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
RANDOMIZE
1. Donald J Trump
2. Hillary Clinton

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

Clinton’s Oregon Favorability Trend

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Despite Oregon being a blue state, Hilary Clinton’s negatives were never below her positives.

QUESTIONS: Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton? IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

Trump’s Oregon Favorability Trend

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Trump’s favorability rating remained constant and very negative among Oregonians during the last five weeks of the campaign.

QUESTIONS: Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Donald J. Trump? IF FAVORABLE OR UNFAVORABLE: Is that strongly or somewhat?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

Oregon Presidential Vote Key Demographics

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As one would expect, party was the primary determinant of voting. Other key demographics were education, age, and gender.

QUESTION: If the election  for President and Vice President were held today, would you vote for Donald J Trump and Mike Pence, Republican, or Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, Democrat, or Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka , Pacific Green, Progressive, or Gary Johnson and William Weld, Libertarian?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.

Measure 97 Key Demographics

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Political party was the single best determinant of support for Measure 97. Interestingly, the drop in Republican support paralleled the drop statewide that signaled the measure’s defeat.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 97 Increases corporate minimum tax when sales exceed $25 million; funds education, healthcare, senior services, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.