Archive for November 2010

2008 Oregon Statewide Income Distribution

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The red line shows the share of income held by each centile (1%) of population. A perfectly egalitarian distribution would follow the 45 degree blue line from the lower left corner to the upper right corner.

Any real world distibution would fall short. The question is how much. The Gini coefficient measures the amount of area between perfect equality (the 45 degree blue line) and the actual distribution of income along the red line.

The Gini coefficient for the State of Oregon in 2008 equalled 0.45.

Source of data: 2008 American Community Survey, Public Use Micro Sample.

Springfield County Commission Results (Nov. 2010)

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Sid Leiken won nearly every precinct in the 2010 General.

One interesting pattern is that Leiken’s vote progressively declined as one goes west. In particular, the relatively Republican North Harlow Road area, great Jim Torrey country in City of Eugene elections, was only lukewarm.

Source of map: Lane Council of Governments (LCOG); Source of data: Lane County Elections.

West Lane County Commission Results (Nov. 2010)

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It’s clear from the map that Jay Bozievich won through strong support from the central part of the district. This has been a traditional area of support for pro-business candidates through the years.

Please also note that Bozievich also won nearly every precinct in the district.

Source of map: Lane Council of Governments (LCOG); Source of data: Lane County Elections.

Location of Lane County Oregon’s Agricultural Sector

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This graphic show four different definitions of the size of the Lane County, Oregon agricultural sector. Roughly half the sector is in the Metro (Eugene and Springfield) ZIP Codes.

The regions are defined by ZIP Code. The Metro region includes 97401, 97402, 97403, 97404, 97405, 97408, 97477 and 97478. The Rural region includes the rest of Lane County.

The data are from 2008, the latest year available.

Source of data: Minnesota Implan Group.

2010 Oregon Senate Winners: Willamette Valley

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Republicans only picked up the two districts in the eastern Tri-County Metro area.

Source of data and map: Oregon Secretary of State.

2010 Oregon Senate Winners: Tri County

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The Republican picked up the two neighboring senate districts to the southeast and east of Portland. Both of the house districts that make of Senate District 26 changed hands. The house districts that make up Senate District 20 remained split between the two major parties.

Source of data and map: Oregon Secretary of State.

2010 Oregon Senate Winners: Statewide

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This map of Senate races, indicating which were gains for Republicans, should be a source of additional hope for 2012. There are a number of districts that Republicans won either in the Senate or the House elections, but not in the other. Though the districts will be redrawn in 2011, it appears that Republicans did not gather up all the winnable districts in this one election. It will be hard, given the demographic trends, for Democrats to eliminate all of the vulnerable districts.

Just as was done with the House district results, more detailed maps of the Tri-County area and the Willamette Valley are forthcoming.

Source of data and maps: Oregon Secretary of State

2010 Oregon House Winners: Willamette Valley

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There were no switches in the Willamette Valley south of the Tri-County Area.

Source of data and map: Oregon Secretary of State

2010 Oregon House Winners: Tri County

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The house districts that switched sides were in the suburban portions of the Tri-County area.

Source of data and map: Oregon Secretary of State

2010 Oregon House Winners: Statewide

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On November 2, Oregon Republicans took six seats in the House bringing them up to parity, at 30 to 30, with the Democrats.

It is important to note that all of these seats were held by Republicans after the 2002 election, the recent Republican high water mark. Below is a list of the seats were regained in 2010 and the year they were lost to Democrats:
Lost in 2004: District 29
Lost in 2006: District 30
Lost in 2008: Districts 49, 51, 52, and 54.

Source of data and map: Oregon Secretary of State