Lindholm Company Blog

The results seem self explanatory. Pat Farr has surged.

If any candidate wins 50 percent or more of the votes in the Primary Election, their name will be the only one to appear on the General Election ballot.

METHODOLOGY: The surveys were conducted November 8 through 11, 2011 and January 22 through 24, 2012. The sBoth surveys consist of 300 telephone interviews of randomly selected likely May 2012 Primary voters in the North Eugene County Commission district. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus six percent.

The three-way ballot question was asked first. The three two-way ballot questions were asked next in an order that varied randomly by respondent

The surveys were conducted in the same way. See: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=7355.

DISCLAIMER: The November survey was done on behalf of the Farr for County Commissioner campaign. The January survey was paid for solely by The Lindholm Company, LLC. See the earlier post for more information on the January survey: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=7355.

After years of having one of the lowest Name ID ratings on the Eugene City Council, George Poling has now moved solidly into the top half. It seems pretty clear this jump is due to the Occupy Eugene protest at his home and his feisty response.

See http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=7125 for the ratings for all members of the Eugene City Council in early December.

QUESTION
I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of George Poling?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent. The surveys were conducted December 5-6, 2011 and January 11-12, 2012.

Soft Name ID is the total of all persons who recognize the name. Hard Name ID is the subset of those who have either a favorable or an unfavorable opinion.

The results seem self explanatory.

If any candidate wins 50 percent or more of the votes in the Primary Election, their name will be the only one to appear on the General Election ballot.

METHODOLOGY: The survey was conducted January 22 through 24, 2012, and consists of 300 telephone interviews of randomly selected likely May 2012 Primary voters in the North Eugene County Commission district. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus six percent.

The three-way ballot question was asked first. The three two-way ballot questions were asked next in an order that varied randomly by respondent

These results are from initial ballot questions. No information was provided to any respondent about any of the candidates prior to asking these questions. The ballot questions were only preceded by questions about name identification of community leaders and a placebo name in order to minimize potential question order bias.

DISCLAIMER: This survey was paid for and authorized solely by The Lindholm Company, LLC, and Lindholm Research, LLC. This survey was not paid for or authorized by any campaign committee. Lindholm Company, LLC, has made in-kind contributions to the Farr for Commissioner Committee. Pat Farr has worked for The Lindholm Company, LLC, during the past calendar year. Pat Farr has no ownership interest in either company.

Despite the strong disapproval of the Poling home protest, the favorability of Occupy Eugene did not change much between December and January.

Given that the Poling protest was so strongly opposed, this has to imply that that the protest wasn’t seen as associated with the Occupy Eugene movement.

QUESTION
Please tell me whether you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Occupy Eugene?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent. The surveys were conducted December 5-6, 2011 and January 11-12, 2012.

It is pretty clear that Eugeneans disapprove of Occupy Eugene’s protest at Eugene City Councilor George Poling’s home in late December.

QUESTION
Do you approve or disapprove of the Occupy Eugene protests at City Councilor George Poling’s home?

METHODOLOGY:
The survey consists of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted January 11-12, 2012. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

In general, the Name ID levels for Eugene city councilors has remained the same since September. The September numbers are posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=6565

QUESTION:
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each.

METHODOLOGY:
The survey consists of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent. The survey was conducted December 5-6, 2011.

The EWEB Board job performance rating continues to hold roughly constant.

QUESTION:
How would you rate the job the Eugene Water and Electric Board of Directors is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted June 14-15, 2010, September 29-30, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.

Mayors certainly get an advantage. Former Springfield Mayor Sid Leiken leads in Name ID, even compared to the two Eugene county commissioners.

One would expect more conservative commissioners and non-Eugene commissioners to have lower ratings in Eugene. As a practical matter, it is rare that Eugene-area local elected officials to have higher negative ratings than positive ratings.

Both Commissioner Bozievich and Commissioner Handy have net negative ratings. The court ruling against Handy is clearly part of his negative rating. On the other hand, Bozievich faced no such ruling. Logically, the impact must be due to “public relations.”

On the other hand, the other commisisoner who was found liable in the open meetings court ruling, Peter Sorenson, has good ratings.

QUESTION:
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______

METHODOLOGY:
The survey consists of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent. The survey was conducted December 5-6, 2011.

Despite the open-meetings trial result and fellow Commissioner Rob Handy’s increasing problems, Peter Sorenson has been gradually recovering over time to his pre-trial levels.

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Peter Sorenson?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted June 14-15, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.

There has been a sharp turn against Handy among Eugene voters since September. Time will tell if this is a blip or part of a long-term trend moving Handy to a worse position than after the open meetings trial.

QUESTION:
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Handy?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted June 14-15, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.