Lindholm Company Blog

The job performance rating improved a bit among Eugeneans, but not statistically significantly, for the Lane County Board after Pat Farr’s ouster of Rob Handy. Looks like no real change.

QUESTION:
How would you rate the job the Lane County Board of Commissioners is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted JANUARY2010, June 14-15, 2010, September 29-30, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.

The job performance rating of the LTD Board improved, but not significantly.

This reflects on the West 11th EmX support. The LTD Board rating has tended to track that support.

QUESTION:
How would you rate the job the Lane Transit District Board of Directors is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, December 5-6, 2011, and May 23-24,2012.

Opposition to the West 11th EmX project dropped significantly since December 2011. However, the project continues to be behind among likely voters.

Approximately 18 percent are undecided. This is the highest undecided rate since the tracking surveys began on this issue in 2010. This could either indicate that people are paying less attention to issue or that opposition voters have received information that has moved them to neutrality. Time will tell which of these is true.

This is an independent survey. Lindholm Company, LLC, paid for the interviews and the analysis. As a reminder, all surveys discussed on this blog are independent surveys by Lindholm Company, LLC, unless explicitly stated otherwise.

QUESTION:
Do you support or oppose the Lane Transit District extending the Bus Rapid Transit EmX along West 11th Avenue?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, December 5-6, 2011, and May 23-24,2012.

Despite Eugene being such a divided city between North and South, Pat Farr’s campaign for county commissioner significantly raised his favorability ratings citywide in Eugene.

QUESTION:
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat Farr?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted December 5-6, 2011, January 10-11, 2012 and May 23-24,2012.

The graphic only includes “Hard Name ID” ratings. “Don’t Know” and “No Opinion” ratings were omitted.

This post shows something interesting from the May Primary.

Here are numbers from all the City of Eugene precincts that are also in the North Eugene County Commissioner District. Kevin Prociw received 5,100 votes for Mayor and Rob Handy received 3,398 votes for County Commissioner.

In part, this shows how badly Handy and Prociw were beaten.

This also shows Eugene really is a divided town. Handy running as an incumbent county commissioner was handily out polled by a candidate outspent nearly 35 to 1.

METHODOLOGICAL NOTES: 1. Wards 7 and 8 were grouped together because include only small portions of the North Eugene County Commission District. For the record, Handy won Ward 7. 2. There is not a perfect overlap with Precinct 1781. There were 30 fewer voters in the North Eugene County Commissioner district than in the City of Eugene. All other precincts had an identical number of voters.

This graphic compares the support for Pat Farr, Rob Handy, and Nadia Sindi by region in the North Eugene County Commissioner District 2012 Primary.

Overall, Farr won by nearly two-to-one and a nearly 30-point margin. Farr also won seven of the eight regions defined above. He even won the portion of Ward 7 in the district.

Handy only won his River Road home ground. However, Handy’s margin was only 14 points! Eugene city councilors rarely do well in River Road. River Road Community Organization neighborhood leaders often do very well there.

The polling continues to show those thinking population growth is too fast about equal in number to those thinking it is too slow.

Eugeneans clearly do not see the local area as too crowded. This attitude might be related to a desire to increase

QUESTION:
Do you believe that recent population growth in Eugene has been too fast, too slow, or just about right?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted February 15-16, 2010, June 14-15, 2010, September 29-30, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.

Eugeneans continue to support expansion of the urban growth boundary.

QUESTION:
Do you support or oppose the City of Eugene expanding the urban growth boundary?

METHODOLOGY:
All surveys consist of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The surveys were conducted June 14-15, 2010, November 29-30, 2010, January 24-25, 2011, May 25-26, 2011, September 26-27, 2011, and December 5-6, 2011.

This post follows the Springfield Mayoral election post at http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=7831.

The ward-by-ward Springfield mayoral and city council votes continues to confirm how different Springfield is from Eugene.

There is an extremely strong citywide consensus in favor of the current city leadership.

Wards 1 through 3:

Wards 4 through 6:

Looking a five winning candidates in six wards (a total of 30 observations), only one was under 50 percent (Ralston in Ward 3) … and even then not by much.

Source of Data: Lane County Elections

A Springfield Ward Map is at: http://www.ci.springfield.or.us/Pubworks/TechnicalServices/SpatialDataProducts/StandardMaps/std_map_wards.pdf