Lindholm Company Blog

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

CA Census 2010 Population – Hispanic – SDC

The Latino population is concentrated primarily south near the Mexican border. There is a secondary concentration in the north of the county.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Source: Census Bureau.

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

OH Census 2010 Population – Black – Franklin

The African-American population is concentrated east of Columbus.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Source: Census Bureau.

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

CA Census 2010 Population – Black – SDC

The African American population is largely concentrated in central San Diego.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Source: Census Bureau.

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

CA Census 2010 Population – Asian – SDC

The Asian population is concentrated to the south and north of San Diego.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Source: Census Bureau.

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

IL Census 2010 Population – Asian – Cook

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

With the exceptions of the “Chinatown” and Hyde Park areas, the Asian population is largely concentrated to the north and in the suburbs.

Source: Census Bureau.

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

OH Census 2010 Population – Black – Summit

The African-American population is concentrated in and around Akron.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Source: Census Bureau.

Voters treated measure Measure 78 largely like Measure 77. They learned over time. Here, again, the date of the poll is the most important determinant of voter intention.

QUESTION
If the election were held today on Measure #78 Amends Constitution: Changes constitutional language describing governmental system of separation of powers; makes grammatical and spelling changes, would you vote yes or no?

METHODOLOGY
This pooled survey analysis is composed of six surveys and a total of 1400 interviews.

The tracking survey series is comprised of five statewide Oregon surveys of 200 live  telephone interviews of likely Oregon General Election voters conducted each of  September 17-18, October 1-2, October 15-16, October 22-23, and October 29-30, 2012. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

Quotas were established to guarantee a representative sample of likely Oregon General  Election voters.

The segmentation trees were constructed using a standard CHAID analysis.

As is common with “housekeeping” measures, the date of the tracking poll is the most important driver of support in Oregon. People learn over time.

QUESTION
If the election were held today on Measure #77 Amends Constitution: Governor may declare “catastrophic disaster” (defined); requires legislative session; authorizes suspending specified constitutional spending restrictions, would you vote yes or no?

METHODOLOGY
This pooled survey analysis is composed of six surveys and a total of 1400 interviews.

The tracking survey series is comprised of five statewide Oregon surveys of 200 live  telephone interviews of likely Oregon General Election voters conducted each of  September 17-18, October 1-2, October 15-16, October 22-23, and October 29-30, 2012. The margin of error at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

Quotas were established to guarantee a representative sample of likely Oregon General  Election voters.

The segmentation trees were constructed using a standard CHAID analysis.

This is 701st post on this blog.

The next series of posts will present a CHAID segmentation analyses of pre-election tracking polls conducted during the November election campaign.