Archive for May 2014

East Lane Hard Name ID Trend

image002

The Matthews surge is evident during the final few weeks of the campaign.

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______?
1. Faye Stewart
2. Kevin Matthews

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of East Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted each of April 29-May 1 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

The hard name identification equals the total percentage who have either favorable or unfavorable opinions of someone or something.

West Lane Hard Name ID Trend

image004

As before, the Lesley surge during the final few weeks is clear.

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______?
1. Jay Bozievich
2. Dawn Lesley

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of West Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted each of April 29-May 1 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

The hard name identification equals the total percentage who have either favorable or unfavorable opinions of someone or something.

 

East Lane Name Identification Trend

image006

Just as with Lesley, the Matthews campaign surged during the final few weeks of the campaign.

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______?
1. Jay Bozievich
2. Dawn Lesley

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of West Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted each of April 29-May 1 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

 

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______?
1. Faye Stewart
2. Kevin Matthews

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of East Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted each of April 29-May 1 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

West Lane Name Identification Trend

image008

The Lesley surge during the final few weeks is clear.

QUESTION
Now, I am going to read the names of some people. Please tell me whether you have heard of each. IF HEARD OF … Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of ______?
1. Jay Bozievich
2. Dawn Lesley

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of West Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted each of April 29-May 1 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent for each survey.

West Lane Co. Comm. District 2014 Primary Top Issues

image012

The top issue in the West Lane District is overwhelmingly economic growth with stopping crime and improving ethics in a tie coming next. This is almost identical to East Lane.

QUESTION
Which of these is the most important issue to you when voting for county commissioner: growing the economy,stopping crime,protecting the environment or improving county government ethics? RANDOMIZE ORDER
NOTE OTHER RESPONSES

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of West Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted April 29-May 1, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent.

Springfield Co. Comm. District 2014 Primary Top Issues

image010

The top issue in the Springfield District is overwhelmingly economic growth with stopping crime coming next. This differs from East Lane and West Lane in that improving ethics is much lower on the priority list.

QUESTION
Which of these is the most important issue to you when voting for county commissioner: growing the economy,stopping crime,protecting the environment or improving county government ethics? RANDOMIZE ORDER
NOTE OTHER RESPONSES

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of Springfield County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted April 29-May 1, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent.

East Lane Co. Comm. District 2014 Primary Top Issues

image008

The top issue in the East Lane District is overwhelmingly economic growth with stopping crime and improving ethics in a tie coming next.

QUESTION
Which of these is the most important issue to you when voting for county commissioner: growing the economy,stopping crime,protecting the environment or improving county government ethics? RANDOMIZE ORDER
NOTE OTHER RESPONSES

METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of East Lane County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted April 29-May 1, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent.

2014 Lane Co. Comm. Elections

A series of posts will begin today that explore the electorate, campaign time trend, and final election results of the three Lane county commission 2014 Primary campaigns.

West Lane Co. Comm. Contest Latest Cash-On-Hand Trend

image006

Again, both campaigns remain true to their game plan. The Lesley cash balance is far above the Bozievich campaigns which has tended not to build up significant reserves. The Lesley campaign is drawing down its reserves as election day, May 20, approaches.

Sources: Data collected from ORESTAR approximately noon May 11, 2014. The date cover December 31,2013, April 20, 2014, April 29, 2014, May 4, 2014, May 11, 2014, and May 18, 2014. Note that the campaigns have some leeway  regarding when to post information. The latest information from the Bozievich campaign is from May 9 and from the Lesley campaign is May 15. The data are tied to the date of collection not to the date of transaction.

West Lane Co. Comm. Contest Latest Expenditures Trend

image004

The Bozievich campaign expenditures continue to lead those of the Lesley campaign by quite a bit.

Sources: Data collected from ORESTAR approximately noon May 11, 2014. The date cover December 31,2013, April 20, 2014, April 29, 2014, May 4, 2014, May 11, 2014, and May 18, 2014. Note that the campaigns have some leeway  regarding when to post information. The latest information from the Bozievich campaign is from May 9 and from the Lesley campaign is May 15. The data are tied to the date of collection not to the date of transaction.