Archive for March 2015

Cumulative Turnout Percentage by Date by 2014 Primary Turnout

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Voters in the primary voted earlier and established a wide turnout advantage over those who did not vote in the primary.

The turnout difference is dramatic. Fully 96% of those who voted in the primary returned for the general versus only 58% of those who skipped the primary.

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Percentage of Total Turnout by Date by 2014 Primary Turnout

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Voters in the primary voted earlier than those who had not voted in the primary.

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Cumulative Turnout Percentage by Date by Vote Propensity

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Higher propensity voters in Oregon turn around that old Chicago political machine admonition about turnout: they vote earlier and they more often vote.

DEFINITION: Vote frequency measured as number of times voted in the preceding two primaries (2012 and 2014) and two generals (2010 and 2012).

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Percentage of Total Turnout by Date by Vote Propensity

 

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Higher propensity voters generally return their ballots earlier.

DEFINITION: Vote frequency measured as number of times voted in the preceding two primaries (2012 and 2014) and two generals (2010 and 2012).

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.