Archive for November 2017

Eugene Measure 20-274 Tracking: Forecast Results

Predicted support for the measure quickly rose to its final level. The arrival of the city voters’ pamphlet and widespread endorsements certainly helped.
QUESTION: Would you vote yes or no on Measure 20-274: Shall the City of Eugene Charter be amended to eliminate an election in the fourth year of a vacated Mayor’s or Councilor’s term?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: Tracking surveys consisting of 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene Special Election voters were conducted each of October 18-19 and October 30-31, 2017. The margin of error for each survey was plus or minus 7%.
SOURCE OF DATA: Lane County Elections: November 7, 2017 election results.

Eugene Measure 20-274 Tracking

Measure 20-274, a city election housekeeping measure passed by a wide margin. Historically, the final percentage is well in line with other housekeeping measure. The initial support level, however, was very low. Voters became informed of the measure over time and this led to its landslide win.
QUESTION: Would you vote yes or no on Measure 20-274: Shall the City of Eugene Charter be amended to eliminate an election in the fourth year of a vacated Mayor’s or Councilor’s term?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: Tracking surveys consisting of 200 live telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene Special Election voters were conducted each of October 18-19 and October 30-31, 2017. The margin of error for each survey was plus or minus 7%.
SOURCE OF DATA: Lane County Elections: November 7, 2017 election results.

Eugene November Special Posts

During the next few weeks we’ll be posting analyses of this past November 7 Eugene Special Election.

Piercy and Vinis Performance Compared by Eugene Ward

Kitty Piercy in 2012 uniformly outperformed Lucy Vinis in 2016. However, the difference was significantly less in the west Eugene wards (6, 7, and 8).

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

Clark for Mayor Campaign Financial Timeline

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Clark’s fundraising and spending were nearly all concentrated near the May election date.

Source of data: Oregon Secretary of State.