January 30, 2018, 8:00 am
This question is a bit different because it asks the respondent to choose between three different combinations rather than just rating one characteristics at a time.
The overall perception of a safe Downtown Eugene continues the its slow trend downward. However, those seeing it as really dangerous continues dropping from its high in 2016.
QUESTION: Now, I am going to read statements from three fictitious people to you about the transient population in downtown Eugene and ask which one comes closest to your view: ROTATE ROTATE ORDER: READ 1 TO 3 OR READ 3 TO 1
[The transient population in downtown Eugene]
1. Bradshaw: ___ makes me feel much less safe and less likely to go to businesses there.
2. Philips: ___ makes me feel somewhat less safe and less likely to go to businesses there.
3. Andrews: ___ does not make me feel less safe and has no effect on whether I would go to businesses there.
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted each of June 1-2, 2015, September 21-22, 2015, December 2-3, 2015, September 13-15, 2016, April 10-11, 2017, and September 11-12, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each is 7%.
January 29, 2018, 10:00 am
Party registration was the most important predictor of how someone would vote on the measure. Paralleling the declining undecided, this analysis shows that Democrats coalesced behind the measure and Republicans coalesced in opposition.
QUESTION: If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Measure 101: Approves temporary assessments to fund health care for low-income individuals and families, and to stabilize health insurance premiums. Temporary assessments on insurance companies, some hospitals, and other providers of insurance or health care coverage. Insurers may not increase rates on health insurance premiums by more than 1.5 percent as a result of these assessments.
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon January Special Election voters were conducted December 11-13, 2017, January 3-5, 2018, and January 15-17, 2018. The margin of error at the sample median for each of the surveys is 5%. Sampling was based on voter lists and used quotas to create a representative sample. The panel includes 1200 interviews with a margin of error at the sample median of 3%.
January 29, 2018, 8:00 am
Measure 101 kept a significant lead throughout the campaign. Voters had little information at the start of the campaign (a whopping 28% undecided). The share opposing steadily increased. The last minute push by the “Yes” campaign had an impact.
QUESTION: If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Measure 101: Approves temporary assessments to fund health care for low-income individuals and families, and to stabilize health insurance premiums. Temporary assessments on insurance companies, some hospitals, and other providers of insurance or health care coverage. Insurers may not increase rates on health insurance premiums by more than 1.5 percent as a result of these assessments.
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon January Special Election voters were conducted December 11-13, 2017, January 3-5, 2018, and January 15-17, 2018. The margin of error at the sample median for each of the surveys is 5%. Sampling was based on voter lists and used quotas to create a representative sample. The panel includes 1200 interviews with a margin of error at the sample median of 3%.
January 25, 2018, 8:00 am
Republicans and business candidates are able to achieve a much greater partisan swing in Lane County than in Clackamas County.
Sources: Lane County Elections; Clackamas County Elections.
Method: The partisan swing equals the winning margin minus the difference between the Republican and the Democratic registration margins. A swing of zero means that the winning percentage exactly followed the partisan registration percentage. A positive swing means that the pro-business candidate won a greater percentage than the partisan registration would imply.
January 23, 2018, 8:00 am
The perception of Downtown Eugene’s business environment, in contrast to crime, did not decline. However, having the “Good,” “Poor,” and “Don’t know” all increase means there is no clear pattern.
QUESTION: How would you rate the business environment in downtown Eugene: excellent, good, fair, poor?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted each of June 1-2, 2015, September 21-22, 2015, December 2-3, 2015, September 13-15, 2016, April 10-11, 2017, and September 11-12, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each is 7%.
January 18, 2018, 8:00 am
Overall, 2/3s of Lane County Commissioners have run and won re-election this century. Of those who tried, 3/4s have won.
Source: Lane County Elections; Lane County Board of Commissioners.
January 16, 2018, 8:00 am
The rating of Downtown Eugene’s crime problem continues drop.
QUESTION: How would you rate the crime problem in downtown Eugene: excellent, good, fair, poor?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted each of June 1-2, 2015, September 21-22, 2015, December 2-3, 2015, September 13-15, 2016, April 10-11, 2017, and September 11-12, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each is 7%.
January 11, 2018, 8:00 am
After a period of high risk and high attrition for Lane County Commissioners, it appears that things have settled down. Five out of the last five commissioners running for re-election have been successful. Three positions, East Lane, Springfield, and West Lane, will be up in 2018. We’ll all see if this trend of stability continues.
Source: Lane County Elections
January 9, 2018, 8:00 am
The long-term trend of downtown Eugene’s rating continues to be low.
QUESTION: How would you rate Downtown Eugene: excellent, good, fair, poor?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted each of June 1-2, 2015, September 21-22, 2015, December 2-3, 2015, September 13-15, 2016, April 10-11, 2017, and September 11-12, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each is 7%.
January 8, 2018, 8:00 am
Starting tomorrow this blog will begin a weekly series on Tuesdays presenting polling results on Eugene’s Downtown. The data include results from June of 2015 through September of 2017.
Click here to have LindholmCompanyBlog content delivered to your RSS Inbox!