Archive for the ‘2014’ Category.

Percentage of Total Turnout by Date by Age

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Older voters tend to return their ballots earlier.

Note the falloff of voters 75+ on election day. In polling place states, the turnout rate for voters 75+ is lower than those 65-74.

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Cumulative Turnout Percentage by Date by Gender

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The lines track each other almost perfectly. There are few gender differences in ballot return date.

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Percentage of Total Turnout by Date by Gender

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The turnout percentage by day is almost exactly the same.

SOURCES of RAW DATA: Oregon Secretary of State, L2 of Bellevue Washington.

Piercy 2014 Job Performance Trend

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Mayor Piercy’s rating dropped significantly after the paid sick leave issue gained prominence and has not really recovered since then.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job Eugene Mayor Kitty Piercy is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY A random sample of 200 live telephone interviews of likely Eugene 2014 General election voters were conducted on each of Feb. 11-14, May 27-28, July 8-10, July 23-24, July 30-31, Sep. 15-16, and Dec. 2-3, 2014. The margin of error at the sample median for each survey is plus or minus 7 percent.

As in all the posts: approval is the sum of the excellent and good percentages and disapproval is the sum of the fair and poor percentages. This follows standard methodology.

Eugene City Council 2014 Job Performance Trend

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The Eugene City Council’s job performance rating remained relatively steady throughout the year.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job the Eugene City Council is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY A random sample of 200 live telephone interviews of likely Eugene 2014 General election voters were conducted on each of Feb. 11-14, May 27-28, July 8-10, July 23-24, July 30-31, Sep. 15-16, and Dec. 2-3, 2014. The margin of error at the sample median for each survey is plus or minus 7 percent.

As in all the posts: approval is the sum of the excellent and good percentages and disapproval is the sum of the fair and poor percentages. This follows standard methodology.

Board of County Commissioners 2014 Job Performance Trend

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The job performance rating of the county commission was relatively constant during the year. A slight improvement is observable since the contentious May Primary elections.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job the Lane County Board of Commissioners is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY A random sample of 200 live telephone interviews of likely Eugene 2014 General election voters were conducted on each of Feb. 11-14, May 27-28, July 8-10, July 23-24, July 30-31, Sep. 15-16, and Dec. 2-3, 2014. The margin of error at the sample median for each survey is plus or minus 7 percent.

As in all the posts: approval is the sum of the excellent and good percentages and disapproval is the sum of the fair and poor percentages. This follows standard methodology.

Oregon Gubernatorial Results by Eugene Ward

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Kitzhaber defeated Richardson by an wide margin in every part of the city. The margin in south Eugene (Wards 1, 2, and 3) is especially pronounced. The margins in wards 5 and 6 were comparatively close.

SOURCE: Oregon Secretary of State; Lane County Elections.

METHODOLOGY: The graphic covers the Oregon statewide result, the overall Eugene result, and then the city’s eight wards.

Oregon Gubernatorial Results by Lane County Region

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Kitzhaber defeated Richardson in every part of the county. South Eugene stands out by its especially wide margin. The rural Lane County, and the East Lane and West Lane districts in particular, stand out by their narrow margins.

SOURCE: Oregon Secretary of State; Lane County Elections.

METHODOLOGY: The graphic covers the Oregon statewide result, the overall Lane result and then the results by region.

Oregon Senate Results by Eugene Ward

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Merkley defeated Wehby by an overwhelming margin in every part of the city. The margin in south Eugene (Wards 1, 2, and 3) is especially pronounced.

SOURCE: Oregon Secretary of State; Lane County Elections.

METHODOLOGY: The graphic covers the Oregon statewide result, the overall Eugene result, and then the city’s eight wards.

Oregon Senate Results by Lane County Region

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Merkley defeated Wehby in every part of the county. South Eugene stands out by its especially wide margin.

SOURCE: Oregon Secretary of State; Lane County Elections.

METHODOLOGY: The graphic covers the Oregon statewide result, the overall Lane result and then the results by region.