Archive for the ‘2016’ Category.

Clark for Mayor Campaign Financial Timeline

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Clark’s fundraising and spending were nearly all concentrated near the May election date.

Source of data: Oregon Secretary of State.

Vinis for Mayor Campaign Financial Timeline

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Vinis’ fundraising and spending were spread out comparatively evenly from July of 2015 through the May Primary.

Source of data: Oregon Secretary of State.

Clark and Vinis Expenditures Timeline

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Vinis’ expenditures started earlier than Clark’s, but he caught up and passed her in April.

Source of data: Oregon Secretary of State.

Clark and Vinis Contributions Timeline

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Vinis’ contributions started earlier than Clark’s, but he caught up and passed her in April.

Source of data: Oregon Secretary of State.

Mayoral Undervote Pct. by Precinct

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The undervote, as expected, was highest in the university precinct. However, it was relatively higher in north and west Eugene as well.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

For a more detailed map: eugene-mayor-undervote-may-2016.

Clark Vote Pct. by Precinct

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Clark did much better in north and west Eugene.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

For a more detailed map: clark-vote-pct-may-2016.

Vinis Vote Pct. by Precinct

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Vinis’ strongest area was in south-central Eugene.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

For a more detailed map: vinis-vote-pct-may-2016

Clark v. Vinis Vote Pct. Difference by Precinct

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This map has the familiar pattern of previous mayoral contests. North and west Eugene largely voted for Clark and south Eugene largely voted for Vinis.

The difference is one of degree and of inroads. North and west Eugene were not as supportive and Vinis won several north and west precincts. Compare the 2008 mayoral race: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=3482.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

For a more detailed map: vinis-v-clark-difference-may-2016

2016 Oregon General Election Series

Starting tomorrow and continuing regularly on Thursdays will be a series presenting polling and electoral analyses of Oregon’s 2016 General Election.

Lindholm Research Polling in the 2016 General

This blog is going to begin a series of posts based polling data collected during the 2016 Oregon General Election.  We will present the most prominent and interesting polling numbers first. Less prominent contests will come later – many in 2017.

We believe these analyses to be accurate. Though the headlines this year emphasize the inaccuracy of polling, our polls, just as in 2014, the firm’s polling correctly called every 2016 Oregon statewide partisan and measure contest. Although not a foolproof measure of accuracy, it is best assurance we can offer.