Archive for the ‘Political’ Category.

Eugene Independent Auditor Supported by Wide Margin

Adding an elected Independent Auditor in Eugene is supported by a wide margin. However, it does not hit the crucial 70% level. Ideas that sound good tend to get a large amount of initial support. Campaigns tend to reduce that support. Usually a measure like this would need something above 60% to be really ahead and would like north of 70% to be comfortable.

It’s important to keep in mind that this is based on the old wording and for a general election. Should have updated polling later in the year.

QUESTION: City of Eugene Office of the Independent Auditor. The auditor would be elected to four-year terms, would operate separately from the city council and manager and would conduct financial, performance and other audits of all city operations and activities.
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

NOTE: The text of the question was based on official documents and coverage by the Register Guard newspaper at the time of the survey. Subsequently the city proposed a caption and question which would lead to a different survey question wording.

2017 Jail Levy Increase Over 2013 by Eugene Ward

The greatest increases were among two of the south Eugene wards (1 and 2) and the northwest Eugene ward 6.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Oregon 2016 Measure 100 Vote Trend

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Measure 100 remained safely ahead throughout the election.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 100 Prohibits purchase or sale of parts or products from certain wildlife species; exceptions; civil penalties, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

SOURCES: Election data from Oregon Secretary of State.

Recent Eugene Population Growth Seen as Getting Faster

People see population growth accelerating in Eugene.

QUESTION: Do you believe that recent population growth in Eugene has been too fast, too slow, or just about right?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted each of November 29 through December 1, 2016 and April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each is 7%.

May Special Turnout by Eugene Ward

Ward 2, in the south hills, had the highest and Ward 3, around the University of Oregon, had the lowest turnout.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Oregon 2016 Measure 99 Key Demographics

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The primary determinant was party. Income was the other important variable.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 99 Creates “Outdoor School Education Fund,” continuously funded through Lottery, to provide outdoor school programs statewide, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.

2017 Jail Levy Yes Pct. by City of Eugene Ward

All wards overwhelmingly supported the jail levy. The south Eugene wards (wards 1, 2 and 3) were the most supportive.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Oregon 2016 Measure 99 Vote Trend

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Measure 99 was ahead by a wide margin throughout the election.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 99 Creates “Outdoor School Education Fund,” continuously funded through Lottery, to provide outdoor school programs statewide, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

SOURCES: Election data from Oregon Secretary of State.

Eugene Housing & Rental Prices Too High

The best way to look at this question is to compare the “expensive” and the “just about right” percentages. The “expensive” greatly exceeds the “just about right,” by nearly two-to-one.

QUESTION: How would you rate housing and rental prices in Eugene, in general, are they too expensive, too inexpensive, or just about right?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

2017 Jail Levy Increase Over 2013 by Lane Commissioner District

All districts saw strong increases. The greatest were in the Eugene districts and the least was in the Springfield district.

Source of data: Lane County Elections