Archive for July 2010

Oregon Statewide Open Seat Expenditure Ratios 1982-2008: 3rd Party Conservatives Running Highlighted

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This graph shows the Republican funding as a percentage of the Democrat’s funding for all open seat contests from 1982 through 2008 and from the 1994 victory of Jack Roberts for Labor Commissioner.

Significant third-party conservative nominees are defined as those who either received 10% or more of the vote or raised at least $100,000.

It is important to note that two of the three best funded Republican nominees faced significant third-party conservative nominees. Also, neither of the Republican wins faced significant third-party conservative nominees.

Methodology: In order to maximize comparability across contests, a single standard was chosen. The standard used in the Almanac of American Politics in that it measures expenditures rather than contributions, combines primary and general funding and omits in-kind expenditures. In addition, because expenditures vary widely across contests, the relative expenditures were standardized by taken the Republican expenditures as a percentage of the Democratic expenditure.

Sources: Oregon Secretary of State and Almanac of American Politics.

Ranking of Top Dozen California Cities by Percentage of Vietnamese Voters

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This graphic ranks the twelve largest California cities by the identified Vietnamese voters as a percentage of all registered voters.

San Jose and Santa Ana have the largest concentrations of Vietnamese voters. San Jose’s Vietnamese voter population is part of a larger Asian-American voting block that places San Jose among the top cities in all of the larger Asian-American voter groups.

Size is determined by population in the July 2008 Census Bureau estimates.

Ethnic identification based on name and neighborhood characteristics. Note that, while the data allow comparisons, the estimated percentages will tend to underestimate the actual percentage.

Source of data: U. S. Census Bureau; Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

Oregon Statewide Open Seat Expenditure Ratios 1982-2008: Republican Wins Highlighted

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This graph shows the Republican funding as a percentage of the Democrat’s funding for all open seat contests from 1982 through 2008 and from the 1994 victory of Jack Roberts for Labor Commissioner.

Several observations are pertinent:
1. The two Republican victories in open seat and challenge were not the best funded relative to Democratic funding.
2. Three Republican nominees were outspent by Democrats three to one.
3. Republicans did not even contest the 2008 Attorney General contest.

Methodology: In order to maximize comparability across contests, a single standard was chosen. The standard used in the Almanac of American Politics in that it measures expenditures rather than contributions, combines primary and general funding and omits in-kind expenditures. In addition, because expenditures vary widely across contests, the relative expenditures were standardized by taken the Republican expenditures as a percentage of the Democratic expenditure.

Sources: Oregon Secretary of State and Almanac of American Politics.

Ranking of Top Dozen California Cities by Percentage of Korean Voters

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This graphic ranks the twelve largest California cities by the identified Korean voters as a percentage of all registered voters.

Los Angeles and San Francisco, followed by Anaheim and San Jose, have the largest concentrations of Korean voters. San Jose’s Korean voter population is part of a larger Asian-American voting block that places San Jose among the top cities in all of the larger Asian-American voter groups.

Size is determined by population in the July 2008 Census Bureau estimates.

Ethnic identification based on name and neighborhood characteristics. Note that, while the data allow comparisons, the estimated percentages will tend to underestimate the actual percentage.

Source of data: U. S. Census Bureau; Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

Oregon Statewide 1982-2008 Comparison Summary

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This graph brings together the comparable data on Republican statewide partisan contest success. The Oregon performance from 1982 through 2008 is compared with California and Washington in recent years and Oregon in the decade prior.

Sources of data: Oregon Secretary of State; California Secretary of State; Washington Secretary of State.