Archive for June 2011

Eugene City Attitudes Split on Extend EmX Down W. 11th

Citywide support for expanding EmX down West 11th continues to fluctuate. For the second survey out of three, it’s underwater.

It’s important to note that, in no case, has support increased above 50 percent or the opposition decreased below 40 percent. Those are very troubling indicators.

QUESTION:
Do you support or oppose the Lane Transit District extending the Bus Rapid Transit EmX along West 11th Avenue?

METHODOLOGY:
The November 2010 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted November 29-30, 2010. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The January 2011 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted January 24-25, 2011. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The May 2011 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted May 25-26, 2011. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

 

Ohio African-American Population Distribution (2010 Census)

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

OH Census 2010 Population – Black – Statewide

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Ohio’s African-American population in concentrated in a number of urban areas including Akron, Cleveland, Cincinnati, Columbus, and Dayton.

Source: Census Bureau.

2010 Census: California Statewide Hispanic Population Distribution

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

CA Census 2010 Population – Hispanic – Statewide

The Latino population is concentrated in the Los Angeles area and the Central Valley and other agricultural regions such as Salinas.

Source: Census Bureau.

The Santa Clara County boundary is outlined in the map.

2010 Census: Central Portland Oregon Black Population Pct.

Census 2010 Population – Black – Portland DowntownPlease click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

The concentration of the African American population in north and northeast Portland is clearly visible.

Source: Census Bureau.

Support for Eugene Urban Growth Boundary Expansion Continues to Increase

Support for Eugene’s Urban Growth Boundary expansion continues to increase. Both the total support and the margin of support (support percentage minus oppose percentage) have increased in each survey.

Two possible causes could be the continuing education effort by the City of Eugene’s Envision Eugene process and the continuing problems with the local economy.

Throughout these surveys it is important to note that the undecided remains consistently in the ballpark of 20 percent. This is not a clear issue to the larger Eugene public.

QUESTION:
Do you support or oppose the City of Eugene expanding the urban growth boundary?

METHODOLOGY:
The June 2010 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted June 14-15, 2010. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The November 2010 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted November 29-30, 2010. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The January 2011 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted January 24-25, 2011. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

The May 2011 survey consisted of 200 telephone interviews of likely Eugene General Election voters conducted May 25-26, 2011. The margin of error at the overall sample median is plus or minus 7 percent.

Eugene 4J School Bond: Map of May 2011 Results

The Eugene 4J School Bond passed overwhelmingly.

May 2011 Special 20-183 Yes 060211-1415

The strongest opposition to the Eugene 4J School Bond came from rural areas. The basic pattern of the strongest support coming from south Eugene and the strongest opposition coming from the rural portion of the district has been true for more than 30 years.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Eugene Income Tax: Map of May 2011 Results

The Eugene Income Tax failed overwhelmingly. The Eugene Income Tax (Measure 20-182) did best in central and south Eugene. The most consistent opposition came from north and west Eugene.

May 2011 Special 20-182 Yes 060211-1445

This pattern generally mimics the geographic pattern for the Eugene Mayoral election in 2008: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=3482 The difference is the lack of overwhelming support in the south hills.

The geographic voting pattern is starting to resemble the old “Conservative C” that formed behind Jeff Miller for Mayor in 1988. Since the income tax was a measure and not a candidate, any conclusions about future candidate contests at this stage are certainly tentative. Nevertheless, if this pattern continues in future elections, it would be a significant shift in Eugene politics.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Illinois African-American Population Distribution (2010 Census)

Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

IL Census 2010 Population – Black – SW

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

Illinois’ African-American population is largely concentrated in Chicago and in East St. Louis.

Source: Census Bureau.

2010 Census: California Statewide White Non-Hispanic Population Distribution

 Please click on this link to see the map. The map is in acrobat format.

CA Census 2010 Population – White – Statewide

The data are mapped at the census block level, the smallest geography available.

The White-Non Hispanic population is concentrated in the rural regions outside the Central Valley.

Source: Census Bureau.