Archive for January 2016

Eugene City Council 2015 Job Performance Trend

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Though things improved during the middle of the year, the city council ended the year in the same poor repute they were at the beginning.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job the Eugene City Council is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY: 200 telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely general election voters were conducted the nights of February 16-18, June 1-2, September 21-22, and December 1-2, 2015. The margin of error at the median is 7%. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

EWEB Board 2015 Job Performance Trend

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The EWEB rating took a sharply negative turn at the end of the year, probably due to the rate increase discussions.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job the Eugene Water and Electric Board of Directors is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY: 200 telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely general election voters were conducted the nights of February 16-18, June 1-2, September 21-22, and December 1-2, 2015. The margin of error at the median is 7%. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Lane County Commission 2015 Job Performance Trend

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The job performance rating of the county commissioners has generally trended downward during 2015.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job the Lane County Board of Commissioners is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY: 200 telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely general election voters were conducted the nights of February 16-18, June 1-2, September 21-22, and December 1-2, 2015. The margin of error at the median is 7%. Figures may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

New Year’s Status of Major Oregon Statewide Candidates

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This graphic includes filed candidates for Governor, Secretary of State, and State Treasurer.

As one would expect, Governor Kate Brown has by far the highest cash-on-hand at nearly three-quarters of a million dollars. Several candidates are at or near the “hundreds of thousands” mark. Devlin has three, Avakian has two, and Read has one and a half. Hoyle and Richardson each have one. The remaining candidates are all below $50,000.  Leiken and Telfer have next to nothing.
One key takeaway is that the Democratic candidates have a lot more cash on hand than the Republicans and Independent.
The burn rates can help explain why two of the major Republican candidates have so little cash.

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This graphic includes filed candidates for Governor, Secretary of State, and State Treasurer except for Telfer. She reported raising too little money for a meaningful comparative analysis. The burn rate is a measure of campaign efficiency. See the methodology note below for details.

Republicans Bud Pierce for Governor and Sid Leiken for Secretary of State have the highest burn rates. Both are in excess of 90%.

A higher burn rate at this early stage in the campaign could result from a wide range of causes. In general, it is a good measure of campaign efficiency. Candidates that self fund usually have high burn rates because they supply cash as needed. In addition, building a large-scale grass roots operation is costly. Other factors can throw off the measure. For example, Val Hoyle was House Majority Leader during the first half of the year. The normal activities of a leadership account would tend to drive the measured burn rate up significantly.

METHODOLOGY: The data were gathered after the close of work on December 31, 2015.

The burn rate = (Cash expenditures during 2015/Cash contributions during 2015). This only includes state candidates. Due to the differences between FEC and ORESTAR the calculations are complicated to compare.