Springfield Co. Comm. May 2014 Predictive Tracking Results

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The calculation implies that Leiken was always hovering around his final percentage of 62 percent.

See http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=10694 for the original percentages.

QUESTION
If the election for county commissioner were held today, would you vote for Sid Leiken, Sheri Moore or Charmaine M. Rehg [ROTATE]?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

SURVEY METHODOLOGY
200 live telephone interviews of Springfield County Commission District likely 2014 Primary voters were conducted April 29-May 1, 2014 and May 12-14, 2014. The margin of error of the survey at the sample median is plus or minus seven percent.

SOURCE OF ELECTION DATA: Lane County Elections.

ADJUSTED BALLOT CALCULATION METHODOLOGY: The adjusted ballot standing is calculated by assigning the undecided percentage using a standard methodology. The undecided percentage was assigned with one third to the incumbent and the remaining two thirds divided proportionately among the challenger or challengers.

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