Matching Up Republican Presidential and Senate Candidates

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There is not a lot of definition in this contest. Sam Carpenter is closer to Cruz and Trump and Faye Stewart is closer to Kasich, but those are just marginal. None of the Senate candidates has yet gained much support statewide.

QUESTION: If the Republican Presidential Primary were held today, would you vote for: Ted Cruz, John R. Kasich, or Donald J. Trump? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

QUESTION: If the Republican United States Senate Primary were held today, would you vote for: Sam Carpenter, Mark Callahan, Faye Stewart, or Dan Laschober? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

SAMPLE METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2016 Oregon Republican Primary voters were conducted April 25-27, 2016. Quotas were established for gender, age, and region. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY: Correspondence Analysis can be seen as a visual version of a crosstabulation. It represents in distance the similarity between responses from two questions. Responses along the same angle tend to be similar. The closer to the center the closer to the center of the electorate.

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