Matching Up Republican Presidential and Secretary of State Candidates

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In the Republican Secretary of State race each of the candidates has more definition, though probably more due to Richardson’s run for Governor than Leiken’s terms as county commissioner and mayor. Richardson is closer to Cruz and Leiken is closer to Kasich and Trump.

QUESTION: If the Republican Presidential Primary were held today, would you vote for: Ted Cruz, John R. Kasich, or Donald J. Trump? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

QUESTION: If the Republican Oregon Secretary of State Primary were held today, would you vote for: Dennis Richardson or Sid Leiken? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

SAMPLE METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2016 Oregon Republican Primary voters were conducted April 25-27, 2016. Quotas were established for gender, age, and region. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

STATISTICAL METHODOLOGY: Correspondence Analysis can be seen as a visual version of a crosstabulation. It represents in distance the similarity between responses from two questions. Responses along the same angle tend to be similar. The closer to the center the closer to the center of the electorate.

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