Oregon Republican Senate Primary Trend

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Strikingly, a week out from the election no candidate had amassed much support. Neither of the leading candidates, Carpenter or Stewart, had made any significant headway. This differs from Huffman’s 2010 campaign where he steadily pulled away from the field. This provides one possible reason for the Callahan victory: the Carpenter and Stewart campaigns were just not getting any sort of message out to the voters.

QUESTION: If the Republican United States Senate Primary were held today, would you vote for: Sam Carpenter, Mark Callahan, Faye Stewart, or Dan Laschober? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: These results are based on three surveys composed of live telephone interviews of likely Oregon Democratic Primary voters. A survey of 200 was conducted April 5-6, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for this survey is 7%. Two surveys of 400 were conducted April 25-26 and May 9-10, 2016. The margin of error at the sample median for these surveys is 5%.

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