Matching Up Oregon Presidential and Gubernatorial Candidates-Update


There is quite a bit of bunching among the candidates which implies not much ticket splitting. The Brown and Clinton voters are indistinguishable. There is some distance between Pierce and Trump, but not much.

The correspondence analysis based on the last tracking poll is at:

If the election  for President and Vice President were held today, would you vote for Donald J Trump and Mike Pence, Republican, or Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine, Democrat, or Jill Stein and Ajamu Baraka , Pacific Green, Progressive, or Gary Johnson and William Weld, Libertarian?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

If the election for Governor were held today, would you vote for James Foster, Libertarian, or Kate Brown, Democrat, Working Families, or Cliff Thomason, Independent, or Aaron Donald Auer, Constitution, or Bud Pierce, Republican?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters were conducted October 17-21, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

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