Lane Jail Levy Key Demographics

As one would expect with a money measure, the most important demographic distinction is by party: Democrats are more supportive than Republicans and Others. Of greater interest is the increasing Democratic support over time. That more frequently voting non-Democrats are more likely to have decided to  vote no is common since they are usually relatively better informed. Remember that “Don’t Knows” in Lane County-area money measures almost always vote no.

BALLOT QUESTION WORDING:
DECEMBER 2016
Now, as you may know, Lane County is considering renewing the current jail levy.
If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on this measure: Renewal of jail, youth services, and related treatment, five-year-levy. Shall County retain jail beds and adult/youth offender treatments levying maximum of $0.55 [55 cents] per $1,000 assessed valuation for five years commencing 2018/19. This measure renews current local option taxes?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

APRIL & MAY 2017
If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on this measure:
Renewal of jail and critical youth services five-year-levy. Shall County retain jail beds, critical youth treatments levying $0.55 [55 cents] per $1,000 assessed valuation, for five years commencing 2018/19. This measure renews current local option taxes?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY:

INTERVIEWS: 200 live telephone interviews of likely 2017 Lane County Special Election voters were conducted on each of December 12-14, 2016, April 24 and 25, 2017, and May 8 and 9, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median for each of the surveys is plus or minus 7%.

STATISTICS: CHAID (Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection) was used to create the tree.

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