Measure 101 Tracking Polls Key Demographics

Party registration was the most important predictor of how someone would vote on the measure. Paralleling the declining undecided, this analysis shows that Democrats coalesced behind the measure and Republicans coalesced in opposition.
QUESTION: If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Measure 101: Approves temporary assessments to fund health care for low-income individuals and families, and to stabilize health insurance premiums. Temporary assessments on insurance companies, some hospitals, and other providers of insurance or health care coverage. Insurers may not increase rates on health insurance premiums by more than 1.5 percent as a result of these assessments.
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon January Special Election voters were conducted December 11-13, 2017, January 3-5, 2018, and January 15-17, 2018. The margin of error at the sample median for each of the surveys is 5%. Sampling was based on voter lists and used quotas to create a representative sample. The panel includes 1200 interviews with a margin of error at the sample median of 3%.

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