This is the first in a series of posts looking back at the Nguyen Recall Election earlier this year.
The percentage of participating non-persistent voters was much higher than one would have expected. The most likely explanation is that one or more strong voter turnout efforts were run.
Regarding a District 7 June Primary, this implies that campaigns should build in a strong turnout operation.
These figures are based on estimates using the sources indicated below.
Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.
Persistence is defined as having voted in three or four of the previous four primary and general elections. It is usually considered a broad definition of primary voters and, under normal circumstances, would tend to overestimate the turnout in a 2010 Primary.