Summary of Piercy v. Torrey Measure Analysis Posts

Just a few notes on what we’ve seen in the last few posts …

Piercy’s money measures to date have been much less successful than Torrey’s. She has only won if she was renewing an old Torrey measure (Library and Parks) or placing a measure driven by the 2008 Torrey campaign on the ballot (two streets bonds).

There are several possible explanations. Most probably, this could either imply her support is much lower than Torrey’s was, and polling shows that this is true, or this could imply she is trying to reach too far. It is most likely that some combination of these is true.

These patterns could have some impact on the upcoming library measure. Under other circumstances it would be seen as a safe win.

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