Lane County Non-Eugene Recent Results in Terms of Partisan Swing

In 2014, all three county (non-Eugene) county commissioner districts will be up for election. All three have pro-business incumbents. This graphic shows how well pro-business candidates have done in recent major contests.

Three were winners and one, Anna Morrison, lost. It’s very clear that Anna Morrison greatly underperformed the other pro-business candidates.

METHOD: The partisan swing is a way to measure the relative performance of campaigns. The partisan swing in all these cases assumes that Republicans are generally favorable to these candidates and that Democrats are generally unfavorable. The equation is: Partisan swing = (Winning candidate pct. – Losing/2nd place candidate pct. + Democratic pct. – Republican pct.)

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