Posts tagged ‘California Voter Demographics’

Jewish Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide

image0027

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name as Jewish. This is, admittedly, a limited approach, but the results seemed worth the uncertainty.

The sharp spike at 90 years of age is not because many voters are at age 90. It is because so many are over the age of 90. In order to keep all tables comparable, age 90 was assigned as the upper bound. It happens that there is a significant amount of clustering at age 90 for Jewish voters.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 6

image011

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name or lived in a neighborhood that was 50-59% African-American.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 5

image0102

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name or lived in a neighborhood that was 60-69% African-American.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 4

image0082

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name or lived in a neighborhood that was 70-79% African-American.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 3

image0062

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name or lived in a neighborhood that was 80-89% African-American.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 2

image0043

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voters were included if they were identified based on surname and personal name or lived in a neighborhood that was 90-99% African-American.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

African-American Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide: Part 1

image0026

 

 

 

 

 

 

This post begins a series on vote propensity of African Americans in California based on varying definitions used on voter files to identify ethnicity and race.

Voter ethnicity and race were identified based on surname and personal name. This is considered the narrowest available method, though it is likely to miss some members of the ethnic group and include some who are not members.

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

As a baseline for comparison, an analysis of all California voters is posted at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1542.

This particular series posts will only looks at the relationship with age. The distribution of African-American voters by gender is another interesting issue.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

Ethnic Indian (Hindu) Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide

image0121

Ethnic Hindu Indians are a relatively recent immigrant population.

What is most interesting about the graph, is the sharp spike around age 40. This might arise because many came to the United States for professional occupations.

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voter ethnicity was identified based on surname and personal name. This is considered the best available method, though it is likely to miss some members of the ethnic group and include some who are not members.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

Ethnic Japanese Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide

image014

Ethnic Japanese in California are not a recently arriving immigrant population.
The Japanese provide a very different pattern.The distribution of the voters is extremly level. Older voters are numerous and participate much more than younger voters.

The spike among the youngest voters is the “Obama” spike. Younger voters registering  just to participate in the 2008 General Election.

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voter ethnicity was identified based on surname and personal name. This is considered the best available method, though it is likely to miss some members of the ethnic group and include some who are not members.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.

Ethnic Korean Vote Propensity by Age California Statewide

image016

Ethnic Latinos are a relatively recent immigrant population.Compared to the California average the registration rates among the young are much higher. This is probably a combination of a relatively higher civic involvement among the young and relatively higher birth rates than the average population. As is true with many immigrant groups, the young are relatively more integrated with American civic culture than the old. A comparison with the full age pyramid, including both voters and non voters,would provide a bit more precision to this view.

There is no sharp “Obama” spike, however, among ethnic Korean voters. This is unlike what is seen both among Californians as a whole and among many other ethnic groups.

The vote propensity is the number of elections voted in, zero through four, out of the past four primaries and generals (June and November of 2006 and June and November of 2008).

The graph has five lines, one each representing the percentage of total registered voters by each year of age for each of the five vote propensity levels.

Voter ethnicity was identified based on surname and personal name. This is considered the best available method, though it is likely to miss some members of the ethnic group and include some who are not members.

Source of raw data: Labels and Lists of Bellevue, Washington.