Posts tagged ‘Eugene Mayoral Election’

Eugene’s Homeless Camping Policy Support Evenly Split

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Likely primary voters are about evenly split on homeless camping.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the City of Eugene relaxing code enforcement on homeless camping?
IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Eugene City Minimum Wage Increase Supported

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Eugene’s primary voters currently support a $15/hour minimum wage by a solid double-digit margin.

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose a $15/hour minimum wage within Eugene city limits?
IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Eugene City Storm Water Fee Increase Opposed

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Increasing the storm water fee is opposed.

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose increasing the City of Eugene storm water fee to support parks?
IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Envision Eugene Process Supported but Relatively Unknown After Years of Work

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The Envision Eugene process is approved of, but a quarter of respondents don’t have an opinion – even after pressing for leaners. This implies it was not widely communicated to the public.

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of the Envision Eugene planning process to chart future urban growth?
IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Eugene Urban Growth Boundary Expansion Supported

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Expanding the urban growth boundary is now supported by a small margin among primary voters.

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose expanding Eugene’s urban growth boundary?
IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

November Eugene Library Levy Starts Well

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The November library levy enjoys a solid margin of support among likely primary voters.

There are two caveats to the results presented here. Both could create bias. First, the sample is composed of are likely primary election, not likely November special election, voters. The poll was primarily intended to address the 2016 mayoral primary. Primary voters are a bit more partisan and a bit younger than the voters likely to turn out in November.

Second, the wording does not match the actual ballot wording. The actual wording was not available by the deadline for finalizing the question wording. The wording here is a bit more favorable than the actual wording and, therefore, could bias the poll results upward.

Subsequent polling on this issue would both use a November Special election sample and the actual wording of the ballot measure.

QUESTION: A five-year Eugene property tax levy for the library will be on the November 3 ballot. It would increase hours, especially at the Bethel and Sheldon branches, buy more books and technology, and expand programs. It would levy $2,700,000 per year or 17 cents per $1,000 of assessed value or $36 per year for the average Eugene home. If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

ACTUAL WORDING: Five-Year Library Local Option Levy. Shall Eugene levy $2,700,000/year for five years, beginning 2016-2017, to increase library hours and expand other library services?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

Undecided Still Dominates Eugene Mayoral Contest

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Nearly three quarter of likely primary voters don’t know whom they would support for mayor. This is up slightly, but still very high. These percentages continue to be well below comparable levels the last time Eugene had an open seat, in 2003.

Eugene City Councilor Mike Clark still leads. James Manning and Lucy Vinis both gained, from 0% and “not included,” to 6%. The Vinis support seems to be the old Zelenka support (7% in January). This shift can be seen in the below graphic:

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QUESTION: As you may know, Kitty Piercy has announced she will not run for re-election as Mayor of Eugene. Several candidates have expressed a public interest in running for mayor. If the Eugene mayoral election were held today, would you vote for: Mike Clark, James Manning, Bob Cassidy, or Lucy Vinis [ROTATE NAMES]? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way would you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

For the January results see: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=11709.

For the 2003 results see: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=11719.

Public Lukewarm About City Manager John Ruiz

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Whereas the Eugene City Council is extremely happy about City Manager Jon Ruiz (reference below), the likely primary voters next May are decidedly more lukewarm. The “Excellent” plus “Good” percentages are slightly less than the “Fair” plus “Poor” percentages indicating a net disapproval of 10%.

Perhaps this disparity is entirely predictable. Few voters go out and openly declare how much they love bureaucrats!

QUESTION: Now, I would like to ask you some questions about how local government is doing. How would you rate the job Eugene City Manager Jon Ruiz is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?
METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

The Register-Guard story about raise: http://registerguard.com/rg/news/local/33323134-75/eugene-city-manager-gets-glowing-job-review-5-percent-merit-pay-raise.html.csp

From the Archives … Eugene Mayoral Poll from May 2003

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Here’s how some potential candidates for Eugene’s 2004 Mayoral race stood in May 2003.

The sample doesn’t exactly match the one in the previous post. It is from May and a General election sample. That said, it’s clear that Miller and Piercy both had developed large citywide constituencies.

QUESTION: Now, looking at next year’s mayoral race. Some say Mayor Jim Torrey won’t run for re-election. Some people have already been mentioned as interested in running for mayor. If the election were held today, would you vote for David Kelly, Jeff Miller, Nancy Nathanson, or Kitty Piercy for Mayor ROTATE?

METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely general election voters were conducted the nights of May 7 and 8, 2003. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

Some Very Early 2016 Eugene Mayoral Polling

Mayor Kitty Piercy has announced she is not running for re-election in 2016 and the Register-Guard profiled six potential Eugene mayoral candidates. This post reports polling that shows where they stand. All six were included in the question.

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Okay, this looks reasonably normal. However, notice the small percentages. The next graphic adds in the “don’t know” percentage.

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At around 70 percent, the “don’t know” percentage swamps everything else.

BOTTOM LINE: The 2016 Eugene Mayoral contest starts out completely wide open.

QUESTION: As you may know, Kitty Piercy has announced she will not run for re-election as Mayor of Eugene. Several candidates have expressed a public interest in running for mayor. If the 2016 Eugene mayoral election were held today, would you vote for: Chris Pryor, Mike Clark, Alan Zelenka, James Manning, Bob Cassidy, or Laura Illig [ROTATE NAMES]? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way would you lean?

METHODOLOGY: 200 telephone interviews of likely City of Eugene 2016 Primary voters were conducted January 13-14, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7 percent. Rounding may lead to totals different from 100 percent.