Posts tagged ‘January 2018 Election’

Measure 101 Key Demographics

As should be no surprise to anyone, the most important demographic split is by party. Democrats are clearly more supportive.
QUESTION: If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Measure 101: Approves temporary assessments to fund health care for low-income individuals and families, and to stabilize health insurance premiums. Temporary assessments on insurance companies, some hospitals, and other providers of insurance or health care coverage. Insurers may not increase rates on health insurance premiums by more than 1.5 percent as a result of these assessments.
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely State of Oregon January Special Election voters statewide were conducted December 11-13, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Sampling was based on voter lists and used quotas to create a representative sample.
CHAID was used to create the tree diagram.
STATEMENT OF INTEREST: No company associated with this blog is working for either campaign. The Lindholm Company, LLC, owns all results.

Measure 101 Tracking Top Lines

Measure 101 is receiving support from slightly more than half of likely voters. Considering it is a tax measure, undecided voters are likely to be no voters on net. The high “Don’t Know,” more than a quarter of respondents, shows that the general public has very little information about this measure.
In comparison to the January 2010 election and measures 66 and 67 at this time in 2009 (http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1646), Measure 101 is doing better among voters, but has a larger “Don’t Know.”
The bottom line is that voters haven’t settled on this measure and, given these data, it shouldn’t surprise anyone too much if either “Yes” or “No” won in the end.
QUESTION: If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Measure 101: Approves temporary assessments to fund health care for low-income individuals and families, and to stabilize health insurance premiums. Temporary assessments on insurance companies, some hospitals, and other providers of insurance or health care coverage. Insurers may not increase rates on health insurance premiums by more than 1.5 percent as a result of these assessments.
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 400 live telephone interviews of likely State of Oregon January Special Election voters statewide were conducted December 11-13, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Sampling was based on voter lists and used quotas to create a representative sample.
STATEMENT OF INTEREST: No company associated with this blog is working for either campaign. The Lindholm Company, LLC, owns all results.