Posts tagged ‘Kitzhaber Recall’

Just Before Resignation: The Kitzhaber Recall Coalition

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Just before he resigned, a vast majority of Democrats would still have supported Gov. Kitzhaber against a recall effort. As expected, Republicans strongly supported recall. Independents were also in favor of recall.

No other variable, besides partisanship, was statistically significant at either a primary or secondary level.

Kitzhaber announced February 13 that he would resign on February 18.

QUESTION: Recall petitions have been filed against Governor Kitzhaber. By law, they cannot begin collecting signatures until July. However, if the election were held today would you vote to recall or to keep Governor Kitzhaber in office? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Registered voters were called. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region.

“Leaners” were grouped with recall/keep responses for analytic purposes.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC without outside support.

Kitzhaber’s Job Performance Rating Just Before His Resignation

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Just before his resignation, Gov. Kitzhaber was still above water among Democrats (49% to 48%). He was significantly under water among Independents, by a two-to-one margin. As expected, he was far underwater among Republicans.

The importance of religion came up as a secondary variable among Democrats. The less religious were more supportive of Kitzhaber.

“Excellent” and “good” are generally grouped together to measure job approval and “fair” and “poor” are generally grouped together to measure job disapproval.

Kitzhaber announced February 13 that he would resign on February 18.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job Governor John Kitzhaber is doing, excellent, good, fair or poor?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Registered voters were called. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC with

Gov. Kitzhaber Pre-Resignation Job Performance

 

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In a poll take prior to his resignation, Oregonians had a dim view of how Governor Kitzhaber performed his job. The largest portion, more than a third, rated his performance “poor.”

Another way to express these data is in terms of his approval rating. In that case, he would be significantly under water at 31% approve versus 65% disapprove.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job Governor John Kitzhaber is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC without outside support.

Confidence in Attorney General Investigation

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In general, Oregonians feel confident about the Attorney General’s investigation.

QUESTION: Currently, Oregon Attorney General Ellen Rosenblum is investigating Governor Kitzhaber. How much confidence do you have in the results of her investigation: a lot, some, not much, none at all?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Registered voters were called. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC without outside support.

How Closely Are Oregonians Following the Kitzhaber Controversy?

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Not a lot of Oregonians are following the controversy very closely, but about two thirds are following it reasonably closely.

QUESTION: How closely are you following the controversy surrounding Governor Kitzhaber: very closely, somewhat closely, not very closely, or not at all closely?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Registered voters were called. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC without outside support.

Oregonians Favor Kitzhaber Recall by Slight Margin

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The numbers are obviously not good. However, the number favoring recall is not above 50 percent. Since the polling was conducted as news was breaking it is entirely possible that those favoring recall could already exceed 50 percent.

The interviewing was conducted Monday through Wednesday of this week.

QUESTION: Recall petitions have been filed against Governor Kitzhaber. By law, they cannot begin collecting signatures until July. However, if the election were held today would you vote to recall or to keep Governor Kitzhaber in office? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 400 likely Oregon gubernatorial general election voters were conducted February 9-11, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%. Registered voters were called. Quotas were established based on gender, age, party, and region. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.

This poll was conducted entirely at the expense of The Lindholm Company, LLC without outside support.

By the way, we did pretty well polling in 2014: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=11412