Posts tagged ‘BART to San Jose’

BART to San Jose Approval: Key Demographics

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BART to San Jose maintains a high overall approval rating. There is considerable variation depending on the demographics. The key variables that segment approval of the BART to San Jose project are based on party, gender, and age.

Non-Senior Democrats, those aged under 65, approve the most at 85 percent. Female Independents, Decline to State and minor parties, approve at the next highest rate, 78 percent. Senior Democrats, 65 and older, are the third most approving at 73 percent.

The least approving are young, under 45, male Republicans at only 44 percent. This is the only segment with an approval rating below 50 percent.

The other segments are all in the middle, approving at 67 percent or 68 percent.

QUESTION
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

SAMPLING
The surveys each consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of Santa Clara County likely June 2010 Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009, October 26-28, 2009, February 15-16, 2010, and May 10-12, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median was 5 percent for each of the surveys. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.

CHAID
The Tree diagram was constructed using CHAID (Chi-Squared Automatic Interaction Detection). It is a method used to explore crosstabulated data.

BART to San Jose Approval May 2010

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Approval rates for the BART to San Jose project remain exceedingly high.

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY
The surveys each consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of Santa Clara County likely June 2010 Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009, October 26-28, 2009, February 15-17, 2010, and May 10-12, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median is 5 percent. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.

BART to San Jose Approval: Santa Clara County Key Demographics

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Approval of BART to San Jose generally lines up along the expected political spectrum. Democrats most approve, Republicans least approve, and independents are in the middle. Within those three party groupings, younger Democrats and female independents most approve. Republicans 55 and older appear to be the key demographic driving the differences between the June 2009 and February 2010 surveys vs. the October 2009 survey which had the highest approval of the three.

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY
The surveys each consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of Santa Clara County likely June 2010 Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009, October 26-28, 2009, and February 15-16, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median is 5 percent. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.

CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) was used to construct the graphic using demographic data about the survey respondents.

BART to San Jose Familiarity: Santa Clara County Trend

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The countywide familiarity with the BART to San Jose project remains extremely high and nearly constant.

Question:
How familiar are you with building BART to San Jose? Is that very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar?

METHODOLOGY
The surveys each consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of Santa Clara County likely June 2010 Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009, October 26-28, 2009, and February 15-17, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median is 5 percent. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.

BART to San Jose Approval: Santa Clara County Trend

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Approval rates for the BART to San Jose project remain exceedingly high.

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY
The surveys each consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of Santa Clara County likely June 2010 Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009, October 26-28, 2009, and February 15-17, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median is 5 percent. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.

BART to San Jose Plan Approval Trend: Key Demographics

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The approval increased significantly between the June and October 2009 surveys. Democrats and younger non-major-party (Other) voters, aged 46 and younger, were consistently the strongest supporters of BART to San Jose.

The largest increase in support between June and October occurred among Republicans aged 54 and older.

METHODOLOGY
The data were analyzed using CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) methodology.

The data from the two surveys were pooled

The data come from two surveys, each of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Santa Clara County Primary voters were conducted first on June 16-18, 2009 and then, second, on October 26-28, 2009.

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

The trend top lines are posted here:
http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1517

BART to San Jose Plan Familiarity Trend: Key Demographics

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The familiarity level remained constant between the June and October 2009 surveys. The least familiar group are those aged 77 and older.

METHODOLOGY
The data were analyzed using CHAID (Chi-squared Automatic Interaction Detection) methodology.

The data from the two surveys were pooled

The data come from two surveys, each of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Santa Clara County Primary voters were conducted first on June 16-18, 2009 and then, second, on October 26-28, 2009.

Question:
How familiar are you with building BART to San Jose? Is that very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar?

The trend top lines are posted here:
http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1508

Trend of BART Plan Approval

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Approval for BART to San Jose has increased signficantly. In general, as plans move closer to completion and there are no problems, approval increases. Also, it is possible that the depth and length of the economic downturn has increased general favorability for mass transit.

Question:
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

Methodology:
The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Santa Clara County June 2010 Primary voters conducted October 26-28, 2009. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.
The earlier survey was conducted June 16-18, 2009 using the same methodology.

Trend of BART Plan Familiarity

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Familiarity with the BART to San Jose project has remained high and constant.

Question:
How familiar are you with building BART to San Jose? Is that very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar?

Methodology:
The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Santa Clara County June 2010 Primary voters conducted October 26-28, 2009. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.
The earlier survey was conducted June 16-18, 2009 using the same methodology.

BART to San Jose Plan: Correspondence Analysis of Familiarity and Approve/Disapprove

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The BART plan is a different animal than the 49er’s and A’s plans. Here, as with a typical development project, greater familiarity does appear to breed disapproval. This is very common and to be expected. The support for BART is being driven by the large number of people wh0se famliarity is in the middle. One way of thinking of this is that these people have all the information they need to know or want to know to approve of BART.

Questions used in the Analysis:
How familiar are you with building BART to San Jose? Is that very familiar, somewhat familiar, somewhat unfamiliar or very unfamiliar?
Do you approve or disapprove of building BART to San Jose? IF APPROVE/DISAPPROVE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

Methodology:
The survey consisted of 400 telephone interviews of 2010 likely Santa Clara County Primary voters conducted June 16-18, 2009. Quotas and/or weights were established by gender, age, party, region, and vote history as part of the turnout model.
Correspondence Analysis was used to construct the graphic.