Posts tagged ‘San Jose Nguyen Recall Election’

Nguyen Recall Election: Non-Persistent Voter Share by Precinct

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Non-persistent voters were least numerous in the eastern portion of the district. There is a slight correlation with regions that supported the recall.

The key point here is that, though the pro-recall side appears to have done better at Get-Out-The-Vote efforts, the anti-recall side did a good job as as well. It appears that most voter groups in District 7 are amenable to turnout efforts, within reason.

This map is based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Persistence is defined as having voted in three or four of the previous four primary and general elections. It is usually considered a broad definition of primary voters and, under normal circumstances, would tend to overestimate the turnout in a 2010 Primary.

Nguyen Recall Election: Vote Propensity Distribution of Voters

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This is the first in a series of posts looking back at the Nguyen Recall Election earlier this year.

The percentage of participating non-persistent voters was much higher than one would have expected. The most likely explanation is that one or more strong voter turnout efforts were run.

Regarding a District 7 June Primary, this implies that campaigns should build in a strong turnout operation.

These figures are based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Persistence is defined as having voted in three or four of the previous four primary and general elections. It is usually considered a broad definition of primary voters and, under normal circumstances, would tend to overestimate the turnout in a 2010 Primary.

Nguyen Recall Election: Gender Distribution of Voters

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About half of the voters in the election were men and about half of the voters were women.

These figures are based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Nguyen Recall Election: Non-Latino/Non-Vietnamese Voter Share by Precinct

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Non-Latino/Non-Vietnamese voters were most numerous on the outskirts of the district. There is a general correlation between Non-Latino/Non-Vietnamese voters and recall opposition.

The votes by precinct are at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=713.

This map is based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Nguyen Recall Election: Latino Voter Share by Precinct

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Latino voters were most numerous on the outskirts of the district. There is a general correlation between Latino voters and recall opponents.

The votes by precinct are at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=713.

This map is based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Nguyen Recall Election: Vietnamese Voter Share by Precinct

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Vietnamese voters were most numerous in the central part of the district. There is a general correlation between Vietnamese voters and recall supporters.

The votes by precinct are at: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=713.

This map is based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Nguyen Recall Election: Ethnic Distribution of Voters

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As one would expect, there was a strong Vietnamese component to the electorate. The latino turnout was disproportionately low.

These figures are based on estimates using the sources indicated below.

Sources of data: Santa Clara County Registrar of Voters; Labels and Lists of Bellevue Washington.

Nguyen Recall Election Results by Precinct

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This map presents the March 3, 2009 Madison Nguyen Recall election results by precinct.  Yes (pro recall) is in green and No (anti recall) is in red. The deeper the shade the stronger the result.

Source of data: Scnta Clara County Registrar of Voters.