Posts tagged ‘2010 Oregon Republican Primary Survey (March 2010)’

Top Oregon Issues: March 2010 Oregon Republican Primary Survey

image004

The overwhelmingly dominant Oregon issue for Oregon Republican Primary voters remains the economy. The next two issues are taxes and then education.

Details about the survey and the question asked:
What do feel is the top State of Oregon issue?
Economy  47%
Taxes   24%
Education  12%
Health care   5%
Crime    4%
Other    5%
Don’t know   3%

The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Oregon Republican Primary voters completed March 1-3, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median was 5 percent. Likelihood based on a turnout model that includes vote history, gender, age, and region.

As a point of comparison, a parallel survey was run in September 14-16, 2009.

What do feel is the top State of Oregon issue?
Economy  43%
Taxes   24%
Education  12%
Health care  9%
Crime   2%
Other   3%
Don’t know  7%

2012 Presidential Results: March 2010 Oregon Republican Primary Survey

image006

Romney holds first place, albeit narrowly, among likely 2012 Oregon Republican Primary voters.

Details about the survey and the question asked:
Looking to 2012, if the Republican Primary election for President, if the election were held today, would you vote for:
Mitt Romney  26%
Sarah Palin  22%
Mike Huckabee  16%
Newt Gingrich  12%
Tom Paulenty  1%
Don’t know  23%

 

The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Oregon Republican Primary voters completed March 1-3, 2010.The margin of error at the sample median was 5 percent. Likelihood based on a turnout model that includes vote history, gender, age, and region.

By way of comparison, the September 14-16, 2009 survey found:

Mitt Romney  24%
Mike Huckabee  22%
Sarah Palin  19%
Newt Gingrich  14%
Don’t know  22%

Lindholm Company is not currently associated with any of the candidates in the contest.

Governor Key Demographics: March 2010 Oregon Republican Primary Survey

orrp-1003-spssgrfx-3-4-100

It should be expected that a former Trailblazer, Chris Dudley, should do better among Republican men than Republican women. All the other three candidates tested showed no significant difference between the genders.

Dudley’s advantage is just outside the margin of error of Alley and Sizemore among women.  Note that the margin of error gets smaller as one moves closer to the extremes of 0 percent and 100 percent. The 7 percent margin of error at the 95 percent level of confidence holds only for percentages at or near the sample median (50 percent).

Details about the survey and the question asked:
If the Republican Primary election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:
Chris Dudley  21%
Allen Alley   9%
Bill Sizemore  7%
John Lim   3%
Don’t know  59%

The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Oregon Republican Primary voters completed March 1-3, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median was 5 percent. Likelihood based on a turnout model that includes vote history, gender, age, and region.

Lindholm Company is not currently working with any of the candidates in the contest.

Gubernatorial Results: March 2010 Oregon Republican Primary Survey

image002

This survey provides an early take on the Oregon Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Chris Dudley is well ahead among voters with an opinion, with more than double second place Allen Alley’s total. However, well more than half, 59 percent, of the likely voters are still undecided, indicating that this contest is far from over.

Details about the survey and the question asked:
If the Republican Primary election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:
Chris Dudley  21%
Allen Alley   9%
Bill Sizemore  7%
John Lim   3%
Don’t know  59%

The survey consisted of 400 live telephone interviews of likely 2010 Oregon Republican Primary voters completed March 1-3, 2010. The margin of error at the sample median was 5 percent. Likelihood based on a turnout model that includes vote history, gender, age, and region.

By way of comparison, the parallel survey taken September 14-16, 2009, prior to Jason Atkinson’s decision not to run and to Chris Dudley’s announcement found:

If the Republican Primary election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:
Jason Atkinson  15%
Allen Alley  13%
John Lim  4%
Don’t know  68%

Lindholm Company is not currently working with any of the candidates in the contest.