Lindholm Company Blog

West Lane started returning ballots earlier than the other districts and just kept increasing its turnout margin.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Rural Lane County returned ballots the fastest and returned the highest percentage.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

All areas supported the jail levy was extraordinarily wide margins. As one would expect, the most supportive areas were the Eugene districts. Next came Springfield and the rural districts were the least supportive.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

All areas of the county supported the jail levy by very wide margins. Eugene was the most supportive, then Springfield and, finally, the rural areas. Although the support was overwhelming nearly everywhere, there was a significant gap between the City of Eugene and the rest of the county.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

The turnout in the West Lane district was significantly higher than in any other district. Springfield, as usual, has the lowest turnout due to its demographic profile.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

As noted earlier the turnout for this election was low. This blog will present a series of posts exploring this topic; along with looking at the election results by region once the precinct returns are out.

As is typical, Springfield had the lowest turnout. This is what one would expect based on the demographics. An interesting hint, however, comes from the slightly higher turnout among rural voters than Eugene voters.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

As is common in special elections, ballot come in steadily with a definite spike on the final two days.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

One interesting pattern is the dropping number of voters in May Special Elections. Both an expanding overall population and more expansive voter registration laws would seem imply the number of voters should be going up not down.

Historically, more voters, about double, turn out in local special elections when money measures are on the ballot.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

The Jail Levy renewal campaign won with an astounding 73%.  Recent county campaigns have been all over the map. The renewal campaign more than doubled the vehicle registration fee percentage. There is a clear difference in voters’ minds between the jail levy and the vehicle registration fee – not all Lane County money measures are created equal.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

This blog will start tomorrow to post analysis of the 2017 May Special Election. The primary focus will be on countywide results and the recent jail levy, but other topics will be covered.

Posts will continue regularly on Mondays. Occasionally, posts will be made on weekends.