Lindholm Company Blog

Atkinson is a state legislator from southern Oregon. Atkinson did best in his home area of Jackson and Josephine counties.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats

Oregon 2006 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Saxton  41.69%
Mannix  29.80%
Atkinson 22.31%
Other   6.21%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1787

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Mannix had been the Republican Gubernatorial nominee in 2002. Previously, Mannix had run unsuccessfully statewide as a Republican nominee and in Democratic primaries. The attacks against Mannix had a significant impact. Mannix did well statewide and especially in Marion County.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats.

Oregon 2006 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Saxton  41.69%
Mannix  29.80%
Atkinson 22.31%
Other   6.21%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1787

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Saxton won the Primary. Saxton had run unsuccessfully in the 2002 Republican Gubernatorial Primary. Saxton had been on the Portland School Board. Saxton was a native of Albany.

Saxton did best near Portland, in Benton and Linn counties, and in many of the more rural areas.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats

Oregon 2006 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Saxton  41.69%
Mannix  29.80%
Atkinson 22.31%
Other   6.21%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1787

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Sorenson was and is a Lane County Commissioner. Previously, Sorenson had been a state legislator from Eugene. Sorenson was not supported by the Democratic establishment.

The critical importance for Democrats of winning the Portland media market is evident in this map. The Portland media market covers all of Oregon except from Lane County (Eugene) south in western Oregon, the northeast corner of the state, and the southern tier of counties in central and eastern Oregon.

The adage of “dominate the dominant media market” held true for Democrats. Sorenson did best in Lane County and when away from the Portland media market counties.

Oregon 2006 Democratic Primary Statewide Results
Kulongoski 52.82%
Hill  28.56%
Sorenson 15.87%
Other   2.75%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1788

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Hill had run unsuccessfully in the 2002 Democratic Gubernatorial Primary. Hill was a former statewide elected official. Previously, Hill was a state legislator from Salem.Hill was not supported by the Democratic establishment.

The critical importance for Democrats of winning the Portland media market is evident in this map. The Portland media market covers all of Oregon except from Lane County (Eugene) south in western Oregon, the northeast corner of the state, and the southern tier of counties in central and eastern Oregon. The adage of “dominate the dominant media market” held true for Democrats.

Hill did best in Marion and Polk counties and away from Portland.

Oregon 2006 Democratic Primary Statewide Results
Kulongoski 52.82%
Hill  28.56%
Sorenson 15.87%
Other   2.75%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1788

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Kulongoski won the Primary. Kulongoski was and is the incumbent Governor. Kulongoski was the candidate of the Democratic establishment.

The critical importance for Democrats of winning the Portland media market is evident in this map. The Portland media market covers all of Oregon except from Lane County (Eugene) south in western Oregon, the northeast corner of the state, and the southern tier of counties in central and eastern Oregon.

The adage of “dominate the dominant media market” held true for Democrats. Kulongoski did best near Portland and in the Medford media market.

Oregon 2006 Democratic Primary Statewide Results
Kulongoski 52.82%
Hill  28.56%
Sorenson 15.87%
Other   2.75%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1788

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Saxton was on the Portland School Board. Saxton is a native of Albany and advertised that fact during the campaign. Saxton did best in Benton and Linn counties and in rural areas.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats

Oregon 2002 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Mannix  35.24%
Roberts  29.47%
Saxton  28.11%
Other   7.18%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1786

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Roberts was an incumbent statewide elected official. Previously, Roberts had been a Lane County Commissioner. Roberts did best in Lane County and in areas the other candidates were weak. One can see clearly how Roberts, despite having a large war chest, lost, as opposed to did not win, the Portland media market. In a three candidate contest, where self definition is key, this failure implies there was a significant problem with his message.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats

Oregon 2002 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Mannix  35.24%
Roberts  29.47%
Saxton  28.11%
Other   7.18%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1786

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Mannix won the 2002 Primary. Mannix, previously, had run unsuccessfully statewide as a Republican nominee and in Democratic primaries. Mannix did best in Marion and Polk counties and in the Portland suburbs. It is possible that the advantage in the Portland suburbs came through an effective tactical use of cable TV.

Geography is at least as important as ideology in deciding the Republican nominee. Geography is much more important for Republicans than for Democrats

Oregon 2002 Republican Primary Statewide Results
Mannix  35.24%
Roberts  29.47%
Saxton  28.11%
Other   7.18%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1786

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State

Stein was a Multnomah County Commissioner. Previously, Stein had been a state legislator from Portland. Stein was not supported by the Democratic establishment.

The critical importance for Democrats of winning the Portland media market is evident in this map. The Portland media market covers all of Oregon except from Lane County (Eugene) south in western Oregon, the northeast corner of the state, and the southern tier of counties in central and eastern Oregon.

The adage of “dominate the dominant media market” held true for Democrats.

Surprisingly, Stein did best in the 4th Congressional District of southwestern Oregon, far from her Portland base. However, this does make sense if we note that, as a Portland politician, she never built up much of a base there because the media market simply drowned her message. And, during the campaign, the other candidates simply crowded out her message in the other parts of the state.

Oregon 2002 Democratic Primary Statewide Results
Kulongoski 48.21%
Hill  26.05%
Stein  21.60%
Other   4.14%

Map range consists of shades of green with more intense green indicating more intense support.

For a general discussion of this contest, the statewide percentages for each of the three major candidates. and a map of which counties were won by which candidate please see this post: http://lindholmcompanyblog.com/?p=1789

Source of election returns: Oregon Secretary of State