The November library levy enjoys a solid margin of support among likely primary voters.
There are two caveats to the results presented here. Both could create bias. First, the sample is composed of are likely primary election, not likely November special election, voters. The poll was primarily intended to address the 2016 mayoral primary. Primary voters are a bit more partisan and a bit younger than the voters likely to turn out in November.
Second, the wording does not match the actual ballot wording. The actual wording was not available by the deadline for finalizing the question wording. The wording here is a bit more favorable than the actual wording and, therefore, could bias the poll results upward.
Subsequent polling on this issue would both use a November Special election sample and the actual wording of the ballot measure.
QUESTION: A five-year Eugene property tax levy for the library will be on the November 3 ballot. It would increase hours, especially at the Bethel and Sheldon branches, buy more books and technology, and expand programs. It would levy $2,700,000 per year or 17 cents per $1,000 of assessed value or $36 per year for the average Eugene home. If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
ACTUAL WORDING: Five-Year Library Local Option Levy. Shall Eugene levy $2,700,000/year for five years, beginning 2016-2017, to increase library hours and expand other library services?
METHODOLOGY: Live telephone interviews of 200 City of Eugene likely 2016 primary election voters were conducted the nights of July 20 and 21, 2015. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%. Totals may not add up to 100% due to rounding.