Oregon 2016 Measure 99 Vote Trend

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Measure 99 was ahead by a wide margin throughout the election.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 99 Creates “Outdoor School Education Fund,” continuously funded through Lottery, to provide outdoor school programs statewide, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

SOURCES: Election data from Oregon Secretary of State.

Eugene Housing & Rental Prices Too High

The best way to look at this question is to compare the “expensive” and the “just about right” percentages. The “expensive” greatly exceeds the “just about right,” by nearly two-to-one.

QUESTION: How would you rate housing and rental prices in Eugene, in general, are they too expensive, too inexpensive, or just about right?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

2017 Jail Levy Increase Over 2013 by Lane Commissioner District

All districts saw strong increases. The greatest were in the Eugene districts and the least was in the Springfield district.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

Oregon 2016 Measure 98 Key Demographics

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The primary determinant was party. Gender and time were also important.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 98 Requires state funding for dropout-prevention, career and college readiness programs in Oregon high schools, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

These three surveys were then pooled to create The key demographics were determined using CHAID methodology.

Eugeneans Evenly Divided on Urban Growth Boundary Expansion

Eugeneans’ opinions are evenly balanced on the question of expanding the city’s urban growth boundary.

QUESTION: Do you support or oppose expanding Eugene’s urban growth boundary? IF SUPPORT/OPPOSE: Is that strongly or somewhat? IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

2017 Jail Levy Increase on 2013 by Lane Region

All areas improved over 2017. Eugene, which was already the most supportive, increased by the most.

Source of data: Lane County Elections.

Oregon 2016 Measure 98 Vote Trend

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Measure 98 was solidly ahead throughout the election.

QUESTION: Now, I would like to talk to you about some measures that will be on the November ballot.
If the election were held today on Measure 98 Requires state funding for dropout-prevention, career and college readiness programs in Oregon high schools, would you vote yes or no?
IF YES/NO: Is that strongly or somewhat?
IF DON’T KNOW: Which way do you lean?

METHODOLOGY: Three surveys of 400 live telephone interviews of likely Oregon 2016 General election voters each were conducted October 3-6, October 17-21, and October 31-November 2, 2016. Likelihood was determined based on modeling and was validated within the questionnaire. The margin of error at the sample median is 5%.

SOURCES: Election data from Oregon Secretary of State.

Vinis Mayoral Job Approval Rating Is Net Negative

Vinis’ job approval rating is underwater. A net negative rating like this implies she has not benefited from any honeymoon.

It’s is important to distinguish between the types of data. Mayor Vinis is relatively unknown, but those who know her like her. In the office of the mayor, on the other hand, she is underperforming.

QUESTION: How would you rate the job Eugene Mayor Lucy Vinis is doing: excellent, good, fair, poor?
METHODOLOGY: 200 live telephone interviews of City of Eugene likely General Election voters were conducted April 10-11, 2017. The margin of error at the sample median is 7%.

May Special Ballot Return Rate by Lane Co. Comm. District

West Lane started returning ballots earlier than the other districts and just kept increasing its turnout margin.

Source of data: Lane County Elections

May Special Ballot Return Rate by Lane County Region

Rural Lane County returned ballots the fastest and returned the highest percentage.

Source of data: Lane County Elections